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Will it freeze in Murray in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Murray during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 43°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Murray
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 11, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Murray. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 2 · Apr 16 · May 2 | Oct 12 · Oct 23 · Nov 2 | 188 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 19 · Apr 5 · Apr 20 | Oct 20 · Nov 1 · Nov 14 | 209 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 4 · Mar 24 · Apr 9 | Oct 30 · Nov 11 · Nov 29 | 232 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Murray
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Murray, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Murray (station USC00155694, elevation 527 ft), 0.7 mi from Murray. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Murray
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mayfield, KY | 20 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 19 |
| Paris, TN | 22 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 31 |
| McKenzie, TN | 35 mi | Apr 2 | Oct 31 |
| Martin, TN | 35 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 28 |
| Paducah, KY | 36 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 27 |
| Princeton, KY | 42 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 24 |
| Metropolis, IL | 42 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 27 |
| Union City, TN | 42 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 29 |
| Hopkinsville, KY | 50 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Oak Grove, KY | 50 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 28 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Murray?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Murray is around April 5. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 20, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 19.
When is the first frost in Murray?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 1. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 20 and a 90% chance by November 14.
Can it frost in Murray after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 16.
What growing zone is Murray?
Murray is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 42071. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze