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Will it freeze in Martin in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 32°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Patchy Fog then Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Martin
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 6, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Martin U Of T Branch E. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 1 · Apr 16 · May 1 | Oct 7 · Oct 19 · Oct 31 | 185 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 20 · Apr 4 · Apr 21 | Oct 15 · Oct 28 · Nov 10 | 204 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 8 · Mar 26 · Apr 9 | Oct 24 · Nov 6 · Nov 25 | 226 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Martin U Of T Branch E
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Martin, TN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Martin U Of T Branch E (station USC00405681, elevation 340 ft), 0.8 mi from Martin. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Martin
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union City, TN | 12 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 29 |
| McKenzie, TN | 24 mi | Apr 2 | Oct 31 |
| Mayfield, KY | 30 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 19 |
| Milan, TN | 30 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 28 |
| Paris, TN | 30 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 31 |
| Murray, KY | 35 mi | Apr 5 | Nov 1 |
| Humboldt, TN | 35 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 30 |
| Dyersburg, TN | 35 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 2 |
| Medina, TN | 36 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 30 |
| Caruthersville, MO | 47 mi | Mar 24 | Nov 9 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Martin?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Martin is around April 4. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 20.
When is the first frost in Martin?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 28. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 15 and a 90% chance by November 10.
Can it frost in Martin after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 16.
What growing zone is Martin?
Martin is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 38237. See growing zones in Tennessee.
More: all Tennessee frost dates · Tennessee growing zones · frost vs. freeze