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Will it freeze in Batavia in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Batavia during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 41°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Wed, Nov 11 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Batavia
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 29, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Batavia. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 28 · May 11 · May 25 | Sep 22 · Oct 4 · Oct 19 | 144 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 21 · May 3 · May 18 | Oct 1 · Oct 16 · Oct 29 | 165 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 7 · Apr 23 · May 8 | Oct 12 · Oct 29 · Nov 12 | 188 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Batavia
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Batavia, NY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Batavia (station USC00300443, elevation 913 ft), 2.2 mi from Batavia. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Batavia
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albion, NY | 17 mi | May 1 | Oct 20 |
| Medina, NY | 19 mi | May 1 | Oct 20 |
| Brockport, NY | 19 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 30 |
| Geneseo, NY | 24 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 17 |
| Lancaster, NY | 25 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 26 |
| Depew, NY | 27 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 26 |
| East Aurora, NY | 27 mi | May 7 | Oct 10 |
| Hilton, NY | 28 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 30 |
| Williamsville, NY | 29 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 26 |
| Lockport, NY | 29 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 26 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Batavia?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Batavia is around May 3. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 18, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 21.
When is the first frost in Batavia?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 16. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 1 and a 90% chance by October 29.
Can it frost in Batavia after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 11.
What growing zone is Batavia?
Batavia is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 14020. See growing zones in New York.
More: all New York frost dates · New York growing zones · frost vs. freeze