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Will it freeze in Las Vegas in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Tonight: 29°F (Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST).
Tonight: forecast low 29°F. Freeze.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM MST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM MST.
7 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 29°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 31°F Freeze · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 29°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 31°F Freeze · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Las Vegas
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 7, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Las Vegas Wastewater Plant. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 22 · Jun 3 · Jun 18 | Sep 10 · Sep 22 · Oct 1 | 109 days |
| 32°F freeze | May 9 · May 24 · Jun 6 | Sep 20 · Sep 30 · Oct 11 | 129 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 29 · May 10 · May 24 | Sep 28 · Oct 7 · Oct 20 | 150 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Las Vegas Wastewater Plant
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Las Vegas, NM come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Las Vegas Wastewater Plant (station USC00294862, elevation 6,349 ft), 2.5 mi from Las Vegas. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Las Vegas
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Fe, NM | 43 mi | May 14 | Oct 6 |
| Española, NM | 55 mi | May 11 | Oct 6 |
| Taos, NM | 58 mi | May 19 | Oct 3 |
| Edgewood, NM | 65 mi | May 9 | Oct 9 |
| Bernalillo, NM | 78 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 23 |
| Corrales, NM | 83 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 1 |
| Los Ranchos de Albuquerque, NM | 86 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 20 |
| Rio Rancho, NM | 86 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 1 |
| Albuquerque, NM | 88 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 20 |
| Tucumcari, NM | 90 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Las Vegas?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Las Vegas is around May 24. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after June 6, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after May 9.
When is the first frost in Las Vegas?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around September 30. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 20 and a 90% chance by October 11.
Can it frost in Las Vegas after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after June 3.
What growing zone is Las Vegas?
Las Vegas is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 87731. See growing zones in New Mexico.
More: all New Mexico frost dates · New Mexico growing zones · frost vs. freeze