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Will it freeze in Senatobia in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Senatobia during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Senatobia
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 16, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Senatobia. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 16 · Apr 2 · Apr 17 | Oct 14 · Oct 27 · Nov 10 | 208 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 3 · Mar 20 · Apr 5 | Oct 22 · Nov 4 · Nov 23 | 229 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 21 · Mar 9 · Mar 25 | Nov 1 · Nov 16 · Dec 6 | 251 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Senatobia
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Senatobia, MS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Senatobia (station USC00227921, elevation 240 ft), 2.0 mi from Senatobia. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Senatobia
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hernando, MS | 17 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 5 |
| Batesville, MS | 20 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 2 |
| Southaven, MS | 24 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
| Horn Lake, MS | 24 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
| Olive Branch, MS | 25 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 6 |
| Oxford, MS | 31 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 31 |
| Holly Springs, MS | 32 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 26 |
| Collierville, TN | 34 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 3 |
| Germantown, TN | 35 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 7 |
| Memphis, TN | 35 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Senatobia?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Senatobia is around March 20. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 3.
When is the first frost in Senatobia?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 4. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 22 and a 90% chance by November 23.
Can it frost in Senatobia after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 2.
What growing zone is Senatobia?
Senatobia is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 38668. See growing zones in Mississippi.
More: all Mississippi frost dates · Mississippi growing zones · frost vs. freeze