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Will it freeze in Holly Springs in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Holly Springs during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 44°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Holly Springs
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 5, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Holly Springs 4 N. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 2 · Apr 18 · May 4 | Oct 4 · Oct 17 · Oct 30 | 182 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 19 · Apr 6 · Apr 23 | Oct 11 · Oct 26 · Nov 9 | 204 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 4 · Mar 26 · Apr 12 | Oct 22 · Nov 5 · Nov 26 | 227 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Holly Springs 4 N
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Holly Springs, MS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Holly Springs 4 N (station USC00224173, elevation 483 ft), 3.1 mi from Holly Springs. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Holly Springs
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Collierville, TN | 24 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 3 |
| Olive Branch, MS | 25 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 6 |
| Germantown, TN | 29 mi | Mar 22 | Nov 7 |
| Ripley, MS | 29 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 30 |
| Oxford, MS | 30 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 31 |
| New Albany, MS | 31 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 28 |
| Hernando, MS | 32 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 5 |
| Oakland, TN | 32 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 3 |
| Southaven, MS | 32 mi | Mar 16 | Nov 16 |
| Senatobia, MS | 32 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 4 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Holly Springs?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Holly Springs is around April 6. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 23, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 19.
When is the first frost in Holly Springs?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 26. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 11 and a 90% chance by November 9.
Can it frost in Holly Springs after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 18.
What growing zone is Holly Springs?
Holly Springs is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 38635. See growing zones in Mississippi.
More: all Mississippi frost dates · Mississippi growing zones · frost vs. freeze