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Will it freeze in Oxford in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Oxford during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 48°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 48°F Above 36°F · Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 44°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Oxford
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 12, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at University. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 30 · Apr 14 · Apr 30 | Oct 9 · Oct 22 · Nov 3 | 190 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 13 · Apr 3 · Apr 21 | Oct 18 · Oct 31 · Nov 17 | 210 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 27 · Mar 21 · Apr 10 | Oct 27 · Nov 12 · Dec 1 | 235 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at University
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Oxford, MS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: University (station USC00229079, elevation 408 ft), 1.5 mi from Oxford. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Oxford
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Batesville, MS | 22 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 2 |
| Holly Springs, MS | 30 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 26 |
| Senatobia, MS | 31 mi | Mar 20 | Nov 4 |
| New Albany, MS | 31 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 28 |
| Pontotoc, MS | 31 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 8 |
| Grenada, MS | 42 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 4 |
| Hernando, MS | 43 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 5 |
| Ripley, MS | 43 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 30 |
| Olive Branch, MS | 45 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 6 |
| Tupelo, MS | 46 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Oxford?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Oxford is around April 3. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 21, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 13.
When is the first frost in Oxford?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 31. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 18 and a 90% chance by November 17.
Can it frost in Oxford after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 14.
What growing zone is Oxford?
Oxford is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 38677. See growing zones in Mississippi.
More: all Mississippi frost dates · Mississippi growing zones · UV index today in Oxford · frost vs. freeze