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Will it freeze in Tupelo in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Tupelo during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Tupelo
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 22, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Tupelo 2. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 16 · Apr 3 · Apr 19 | Oct 19 · Oct 31 · Nov 14 | 212 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 28 · Mar 21 · Apr 7 | Oct 30 · Nov 10 · Nov 28 | 237 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 14 · Mar 7 · Mar 25 | Nov 5 · Nov 22 · Dec 12 | 263 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Tupelo 2
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Tupelo, MS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Tupelo 2 (station USC00229004, elevation 350 ft), 1.9 mi from Tupelo. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Tupelo
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saltillo, MS | 8.1 mi | Mar 21 | Nov 10 |
| Pontotoc, MS | 16 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 8 |
| New Albany, MS | 22 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 28 |
| Amory, MS | 24 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 5 |
| Booneville, MS | 29 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 3 |
| Ripley, MS | 34 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 30 |
| Hamilton, AL | 45 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 27 |
| West Point, MS | 46 mi | Mar 23 | Nov 8 |
| Oxford, MS | 46 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 31 |
| Corinth, MS | 48 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Tupelo?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Tupelo is around March 21. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 28.
When is the first frost in Tupelo?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 10. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 30 and a 90% chance by November 28.
Can it frost in Tupelo after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 3.
What growing zone is Tupelo?
Tupelo is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 10 to 15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 38804. See growing zones in Mississippi.
More: all Mississippi frost dates · Mississippi growing zones · UV index today in Tupelo · frost vs. freeze