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Will it freeze in Rogersville in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 31°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 40°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 40°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Drizzle
- Fri, Nov 6 31°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy then Areas Of Frost
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Widespread Frost
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Clear then Patchy Frost
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Rogersville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 23, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Oldfield. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 22 · May 3 · May 17 | Sep 20 · Oct 3 · Oct 15 | 151 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 13 · Apr 26 · May 8 | Sep 29 · Oct 13 · Oct 24 | 167 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 3 · Apr 17 · Apr 30 | Oct 9 · Oct 23 · Nov 3 | 186 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Oldfield
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Rogersville, MO come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Oldfield (station USC00236302, elevation 1,240 ft), 10 mi from Rogersville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Rogersville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ozark, MO | 9.9 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 23 |
| Nixa, MO | 13 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 23 |
| Springfield, MO | 13 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 27 |
| Battlefield, MO | 16 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 27 |
| Marshfield, MO | 18 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 24 |
| Republic, MO | 19 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Willard, MO | 22 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Branson, MO | 37 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 2 |
| Aurora, MO | 37 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 23 |
| Bolivar, MO | 39 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Rogersville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Rogersville is around April 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 8, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 13.
When is the first frost in Rogersville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 13. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 29 and a 90% chance by October 24.
Can it frost in Rogersville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 3.
What growing zone is Rogersville?
Rogersville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 65742. See growing zones in Missouri.
More: all Missouri frost dates · Missouri growing zones · frost vs. freeze