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Will it freeze in Ozark in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 31°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 39°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 39°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Drizzle
- Fri, Nov 6 31°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy then Widespread Frost
- Sat, Nov 7 31°F Freeze · Mostly Clear then Widespread Frost
- Sun, Nov 8 34°F Frost possible · Clear then Areas Of Frost
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 42°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Ozark
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Ozark. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 12 · Apr 27 · May 10 | Oct 1 · Oct 14 · Oct 27 | 168 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 15 · Apr 30 | Oct 10 · Oct 23 · Nov 4 | 189 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 18 · Apr 3 · Apr 18 | Oct 19 · Nov 1 · Nov 15 | 211 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Ozark
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Ozark, MO come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Ozark (station USC00236452, elevation 1,134 ft), 1.3 mi from Ozark. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Ozark
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nixa, MO | 4.3 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 23 |
| Rogersville, MO | 9.9 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 13 |
| Battlefield, MO | 9.9 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 27 |
| Springfield, MO | 12 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 27 |
| Republic, MO | 14 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Willard, MO | 21 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Marshfield, MO | 27 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 24 |
| Aurora, MO | 28 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 23 |
| Branson, MO | 29 mi | Apr 8 | Nov 2 |
| Monett, MO | 40 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 26 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Ozark?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Ozark is around April 15. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 30, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 31.
When is the first frost in Ozark?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 23. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 10 and a 90% chance by November 4.
Can it frost in Ozark after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 27.
What growing zone is Ozark?
Ozark is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 65721. See growing zones in Missouri.
More: all Missouri frost dates · Missouri growing zones · frost vs. freeze