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Will it freeze in Branson in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Branson during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Drizzle
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Frost
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Frost
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Branson
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 12, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Branson Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 2 · Apr 19 · May 3 | Oct 11 · Oct 25 · Nov 5 | 188 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 19 · Apr 8 · Apr 25 | Oct 21 · Nov 2 · Nov 17 | 209 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 6 · Mar 26 · Apr 13 | Oct 31 · Nov 12 · Nov 30 | 230 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Branson Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Branson, MO come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Branson Airport (station USC00230887, elevation 1,286 ft), 7.1 mi from Branson. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Branson
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Berryville, AR | 23 mi | Mar 30 | Nov 7 |
| Harrison, AR | 27 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 30 |
| Ozark, MO | 29 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 23 |
| Nixa, MO | 30 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 23 |
| Aurora, MO | 34 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 23 |
| Battlefield, MO | 35 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 27 |
| Rogersville, MO | 37 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 13 |
| Republic, MO | 39 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Springfield, MO | 40 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 27 |
| Monett, MO | 41 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 26 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Branson?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Branson is around April 8. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 25, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 19.
When is the first frost in Branson?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 2. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 21 and a 90% chance by November 17.
Can it frost in Branson after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 19.
What growing zone is Branson?
Branson is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 65726. See growing zones in Missouri.
More: all Missouri frost dates · Missouri growing zones · frost vs. freeze