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Will it freeze in Lexington in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Lexington during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lexington
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 6, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Lexington Bluegrass Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 10 · Apr 24 · May 11 | Oct 6 · Oct 19 · Oct 30 | 177 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 30 · Apr 13 · May 1 | Oct 16 · Oct 28 · Nov 8 | 196 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 15 · Mar 31 · Apr 16 | Oct 25 · Nov 6 · Nov 22 | 220 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Lexington Bluegrass Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lexington, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Lexington Bluegrass Airport (station USW00093820, elevation 980 ft), 8.0 mi from Lexington. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lexington
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholasville, KY | 12 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 28 |
| Versailles, KY | 14 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 28 |
| Winchester, KY | 15 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 18 |
| Paris, KY | 15 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 23 |
| Georgetown, KY | 16 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 23 |
| Wilmore, KY | 16 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 1 |
| Richmond, KY | 23 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 22 |
| Lawrenceburg, KY | 24 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 28 |
| Frankfort, KY | 25 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 24 |
| Cynthiana, KY | 25 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lexington?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lexington is around April 13. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 1, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 30.
When is the first frost in Lexington?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 28. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 16 and a 90% chance by November 8.
Can it frost in Lexington after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 24.
What growing zone is Lexington?
Lexington is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 40505. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · UV index today in Lexington · frost vs. freeze