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Will it freeze in Wilmore in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 30°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 42°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
6 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 30°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 30°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Wilmore
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 8, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Dix Dam. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 5 · Apr 21 · May 10 | Oct 9 · Oct 22 · Nov 2 | 183 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 25 · Apr 7 · Apr 24 | Oct 20 · Nov 1 · Nov 11 | 206 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 11 · Mar 29 · Apr 11 | Oct 30 · Nov 8 · Nov 19 | 226 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Dix Dam
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Wilmore, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Dix Dam (station USC00152214, elevation 870 ft), 6.8 mi from Wilmore. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Wilmore
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholasville, KY | 5.6 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 28 |
| Versailles, KY | 12 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 28 |
| Harrodsburg, KY | 12 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 1 |
| Lexington, KY | 16 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 28 |
| Lawrenceburg, KY | 17 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 28 |
| Danville, KY | 17 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Richmond, KY | 22 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 22 |
| Frankfort, KY | 24 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 24 |
| Winchester, KY | 27 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 18 |
| Georgetown, KY | 27 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Wilmore?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Wilmore is around April 7. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 24, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 25.
When is the first frost in Wilmore?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 1. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 20 and a 90% chance by November 11.
Can it frost in Wilmore after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 21.
What growing zone is Wilmore?
Wilmore is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 40390. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze