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Will it freeze in Fort Scott in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Fort Scott during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 41°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 41°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Drizzle then Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Frost
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear then Patchy Frost
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Fort Scott
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 6, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Ft Scott. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 2 · Apr 17 · May 4 | Oct 5 · Oct 19 · Oct 31 | 183 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 21 · Apr 5 · Apr 22 | Oct 14 · Oct 28 · Nov 11 | 204 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 9 · Mar 27 · Apr 9 | Oct 23 · Nov 6 · Nov 23 | 226 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Ft Scott
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Fort Scott, KS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Ft Scott (station USC00142835, elevation 884 ft), 0.8 mi from Fort Scott. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Fort Scott
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nevada, MO | 19 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 27 |
| Pittsburg, KS | 29 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 30 |
| Iola, KS | 39 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 26 |
| Chanute, KS | 43 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 28 |
| Parsons, KS | 46 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 26 |
| Carl Junction, MO | 47 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Webb City, MO | 49 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Carthage, MO | 52 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 27 |
| Paola, KS | 53 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 21 |
| Joplin, MO | 53 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Fort Scott?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Fort Scott is around April 5. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 22, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 21.
When is the first frost in Fort Scott?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 28. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 14 and a 90% chance by November 11.
Can it frost in Fort Scott after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 17.
What growing zone is Fort Scott?
Fort Scott is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 66701. See growing zones in Kansas.
More: all Kansas frost dates · Kansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze