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Will it freeze in Joplin in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Joplin during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Drizzle
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Frost
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear then Patchy Frost
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Joplin
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 4, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Joplin Regional Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 4 · Apr 21 · May 6 | Oct 3 · Oct 18 · Oct 30 | 178 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 24 · Apr 9 · Apr 26 | Oct 12 · Oct 27 · Nov 9 | 200 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 10 · Mar 29 · Apr 16 | Oct 21 · Nov 4 · Nov 22 | 220 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Joplin Regional Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Joplin, MO come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Joplin Regional Airport (station USW00013987, elevation 980 ft), 4.9 mi from Joplin. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Joplin
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Webb City, MO | 5.0 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Carl Junction, MO | 6.8 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Carthage, MO | 11 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 27 |
| Neosho, MO | 17 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 31 |
| Miami, OK | 24 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 27 |
| Pittsburg, KS | 25 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 30 |
| Monett, MO | 34 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 26 |
| Grove, OK | 37 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 20 |
| Vinita, OK | 43 mi | Apr 7 | Nov 2 |
| Aurora, MO | 44 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Joplin?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Joplin is around April 9. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 26, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 24.
When is the first frost in Joplin?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 27. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 12 and a 90% chance by November 9.
Can it frost in Joplin after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 21.
What growing zone is Joplin?
Joplin is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 64801. See growing zones in Missouri.
More: all Missouri frost dates · Missouri growing zones · UV index today in Joplin · frost vs. freeze