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Will it freeze in Neosho in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Neosho during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Slight Chance Drizzle
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Frost
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear then Patchy Frost
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Neosho
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 8, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Neosho. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 31 · Apr 19 · May 5 | Oct 6 · Oct 21 · Nov 2 | 182 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 18 · Apr 7 · Apr 25 | Oct 18 · Oct 31 · Nov 14 | 206 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 6 · Mar 27 · Apr 13 | Oct 25 · Nov 8 · Nov 26 | 229 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Neosho
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Neosho, MO come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Neosho (station USC00235976, elevation 1,033 ft), 1.6 mi from Neosho. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Neosho
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joplin, MO | 17 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Webb City, MO | 21 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Carthage, MO | 21 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 27 |
| Carl Junction, MO | 24 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Monett, MO | 25 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 26 |
| Bella Vista, AR | 27 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 26 |
| Miami, OK | 27 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 27 |
| Grove, OK | 29 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 20 |
| Pea Ridge, AR | 31 mi | Apr 4 | Oct 30 |
| Centerton, AR | 34 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 28 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Neosho?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Neosho is around April 7. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 25, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 18.
When is the first frost in Neosho?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 31. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 18 and a 90% chance by November 14.
Can it frost in Neosho after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 19.
What growing zone is Neosho?
Neosho is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 64850. See growing zones in Missouri.
More: all Missouri frost dates · Missouri growing zones · frost vs. freeze