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Will it freeze in Stockton in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Stockton during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 47°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 51°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 50°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 51°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear then Slight Chance Light Rain
- Wed, Nov 11 52°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Stockton
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 23, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Stockton Fire Station 4. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 1 · Mar 4 · Apr 13 | Nov 3 · Nov 20 · Dec 13 | 260 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 27 · Feb 5 · Mar 11 | Nov 17 · Dec 8 · Jan 6 | 305 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 12 · Jan 11 · Feb 21 | Dec 1 · Dec 23 · Jan 29 | 353 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Stockton Fire Station 4
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Stockton, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Stockton Fire Station 4 (station USC00048560, elevation 12 ft), 1.7 mi from Stockton. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Stockton
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lodi, CA | 9.9 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 5 |
| Lathrop, CA | 12 mi | Feb 6 | Dec 1 |
| Manteca, CA | 14 mi | Feb 6 | Dec 1 |
| Mountain House, CA | 19 mi | Jan 19 | Dec 10 |
| Ripon, CA | 19 mi | Feb 6 | Dec 1 |
| Tracy, CA | 19 mi | Feb 25 | Nov 26 |
| Galt, CA | 20 mi | Feb 9 | Dec 5 |
| Oakley, CA | 21 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 19 |
| Escalon, CA | 21 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 5 |
| Brentwood, CA | 22 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Stockton?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Stockton is around February 5. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 11, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 27.
When is the first frost in Stockton?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 8. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 17 and a 90% chance by January 6.
Can it frost in Stockton after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 4.
What growing zone is Stockton?
Stockton is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 95204. See growing zones in California.
More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · UV index today in Stockton · frost vs. freeze