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Will it freeze in Oakley in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Oakley during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 53°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM PST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM PST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 52°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 54°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 52°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 52°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 53°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 53°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Oakley
Most years have no 28°F hard freeze at Antioch Pumping Plt #3, according to NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals. Check the short-term forecast above during cold snaps.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Jan 11 · Feb 8 · Mar 12 | Nov 18 · Dec 4 · Dec 28 | 299 days |
| 32°F freeze | Dec 20 · Jan 12 · Feb 1 | Nov 29 · Dec 19 · Jan 12 | 343 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 16 · Jan 2 · Jan 22 | Dec 9 · Dec 29 · Jan 16 | 365 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Antioch Pumping Plt #3
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Oakley, CA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Antioch Pumping Plt #3 (station USC00040232, elevation 60 ft), 3.4 mi from Oakley. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Oakley
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentwood, CA | 4.3 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 19 |
| Antioch, CA | 5.6 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 19 |
| Pittsburg, CA | 11 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 19 |
| Rio Vista, CA | 12 mi | Jan 12 | Dec 19 |
| Clayton, CA | 14 mi | Mar 8 | Dec 22 |
| Concord, CA | 17 mi | Jan 9 | Dec 14 |
| Mountain House, CA | 17 mi | Jan 19 | Dec 10 |
| Danville, CA | 20 mi | Mar 8 | Dec 22 |
| Walnut Creek, CA | 20 mi | Jan 7 | Dec 19 |
| San Ramon, CA | 21 mi | Mar 8 | Dec 22 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Oakley?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Oakley is around January 12. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after February 1, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after December 20.
When is the first frost in Oakley?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 29 and a 90% chance by January 12.
Can it frost in Oakley after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after February 8.
What growing zone is Oakley?
Oakley is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 94561. See growing zones in California.
More: all California frost dates · California growing zones · UV index today in Oakley · frost vs. freeze