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Will it freeze in Oak Creek in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 31°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 37°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 37°F Above 36°F · Isolated Rain Showers then Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 31°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Oak Creek
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 5, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at South Milwaukee Wastewater Plant. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 21 · May 5 · May 24 | Oct 1 · Oct 16 · Oct 28 | 162 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 9 · Apr 22 · May 8 | Oct 10 · Oct 26 · Nov 8 | 184 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 28 · Apr 9 · Apr 24 | Oct 24 · Nov 5 · Nov 20 | 208 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at South Milwaukee Wastewater Plant
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Oak Creek, WI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: South Milwaukee Wastewater Plant (station USC00477964, elevation 650 ft), 2.9 mi from Oak Creek. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Oak Creek
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Milwaukee, WI | 3.1 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 26 |
| Cudahy, WI | 5.0 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 29 |
| Caledonia, WI | 5.6 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 24 |
| Franklin, WI | 5.6 mi | May 3 | Oct 14 |
| St. Francis, WI | 6.2 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 29 |
| Greendale, WI | 6.8 mi | May 3 | Oct 14 |
| Greenfield, WI | 8.1 mi | May 3 | Oct 14 |
| Hales Corners, WI | 8.7 mi | May 3 | Oct 14 |
| West Allis, WI | 11 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 22 |
| Racine, WI | 11 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Oak Creek?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Oak Creek is around April 22. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 8, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 9.
When is the first frost in Oak Creek?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 26. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 10 and a 90% chance by November 8.
Can it frost in Oak Creek after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 5.
What growing zone is Oak Creek?
Oak Creek is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 53154. See growing zones in Wisconsin.
More: all Wisconsin frost dates · Wisconsin growing zones · UV index today in Oak Creek · frost vs. freeze