Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Mount Horeb in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 27°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 34°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 27°F Hard freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Mount Horeb
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 12, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Mazomanie Wastewater Plant. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 30 · May 18 · Jun 1 | Sep 11 · Sep 23 · Oct 6 | 128 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 22 · May 7 · May 22 | Sep 18 · Oct 1 · Oct 16 | 148 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 12 · Apr 27 · May 13 | Sep 26 · Oct 12 · Oct 29 | 167 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Mazomanie Wastewater Plant
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Mount Horeb, WI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Mazomanie Wastewater Plant (station USC00475189, elevation 764 ft), 12 mi from Mount Horeb. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Mount Horeb
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verona, WI | 9.9 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 15 |
| Middleton, WI | 13 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 15 |
| Fitchburg, WI | 16 mi | May 1 | Oct 9 |
| Madison, WI | 16 mi | May 1 | Oct 9 |
| Oregon, WI | 18 mi | May 1 | Oct 9 |
| Waunakee, WI | 19 mi | May 1 | Oct 10 |
| Dodgeville, WI | 21 mi | May 3 | Oct 7 |
| Monona, WI | 21 mi | May 1 | Oct 9 |
| McFarland, WI | 22 mi | May 1 | Oct 9 |
| DeForest, WI | 25 mi | May 4 | Oct 6 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Mount Horeb?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Mount Horeb is around May 7. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 22, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 22.
When is the first frost in Mount Horeb?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 1. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 18 and a 90% chance by October 16.
Can it frost in Mount Horeb after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 18.
What growing zone is Mount Horeb?
Mount Horeb is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −20 to −15°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 53572. See growing zones in Wisconsin.
More: all Wisconsin frost dates · Wisconsin growing zones · frost vs. freeze