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Will it freeze in Burlington in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 28°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 35°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
6 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 28°F Hard freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 31°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Burlington
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 22, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Burlington. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 2 · May 17 · May 31 | Sep 17 · Sep 30 · Oct 12 | 136 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 21 · May 5 · May 23 | Sep 24 · Oct 9 · Oct 24 | 156 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 8 · Apr 24 · May 11 | Oct 3 · Oct 22 · Nov 4 | 178 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Burlington
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Burlington, WI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Burlington (station USC00471205, elevation 751 ft), 1.9 mi from Burlington. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Burlington
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waterford, WI | 6.8 mi | May 5 | Oct 10 |
| Lake Geneva, WI | 9.9 mi | Apr 25 | Oct 21 |
| Bloomfield, WI | 11 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 13 |
| Twin Lakes, WI | 11 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 13 |
| Union Grove, WI | 11 mi | May 5 | Oct 8 |
| Salem Lakes, WI | 12 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 15 |
| Mukwonago, WI | 12 mi | May 5 | Oct 10 |
| Elkhorn, WI | 14 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 14 |
| Vernon, WI | 14 mi | May 1 | Oct 13 |
| Muskego, WI | 16 mi | May 3 | Oct 14 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Burlington?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Burlington is around May 5. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 23, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 21.
When is the first frost in Burlington?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 9. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 24 and a 90% chance by October 24.
Can it frost in Burlington after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 17.
What growing zone is Burlington?
Burlington is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 5b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −15 to −10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 53105. See growing zones in Wisconsin.
More: all Wisconsin frost dates · Wisconsin growing zones · frost vs. freeze