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Will it freeze in Big Stone Gap in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sun, Nov 8: 32°F (Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 PM EST to Mon, Nov 9, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Big Stone Gap
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Big Stone Gap. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 17 · May 1 · May 17 | Oct 3 · Oct 15 · Oct 28 | 166 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 4 · Apr 20 · May 5 | Oct 11 · Oct 23 · Nov 4 | 186 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 20 · Apr 4 · Apr 20 | Oct 18 · Nov 1 · Nov 16 | 210 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Big Stone Gap
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Big Stone Gap, VA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Big Stone Gap (station USC00440735, elevation 1,466 ft), 1.4 mi from Big Stone Gap. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Big Stone Gap
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Carmel, TN | 21 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 29 |
| Church Hill, TN | 24 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 29 |
| Kingsport, TN | 27 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 29 |
| Bristol, TN | 37 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 24 |
| Bristol, VA | 39 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 20 |
| Johnson City, TN | 42 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 24 |
| Jonesborough, TN | 42 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 23 |
| Pikeville, KY | 45 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 23 |
| Abingdon, VA | 46 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 20 |
| Elizabethton, TN | 47 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Big Stone Gap?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Big Stone Gap is around April 20. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 5, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 4.
When is the first frost in Big Stone Gap?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 23. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 11 and a 90% chance by November 4.
Can it frost in Big Stone Gap after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 1.
What growing zone is Big Stone Gap?
Big Stone Gap is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 24246. See growing zones in Virginia.
More: all Virginia frost dates · Virginia growing zones · frost vs. freeze