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Will it freeze in Pikeville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Pikeville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Patchy Frost
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear then Patchy Frost
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Pikeville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Breaks Interstate Park. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 19 · May 2 · May 19 | Oct 1 · Oct 14 · Oct 27 | 163 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 8 · Apr 22 · May 8 | Oct 10 · Oct 23 · Nov 4 | 182 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 28 · Apr 9 · Apr 25 | Oct 19 · Nov 1 · Nov 12 | 204 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Breaks Interstate Park
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Pikeville, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Breaks Interstate Park (station USC00440982, elevation 1,893 ft), 18 mi from Pikeville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Pikeville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big Stone Gap, VA | 45 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 23 |
| Richlands, VA | 48 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 18 |
| Abingdon, VA | 62 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 20 |
| Bristol, VA | 63 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 20 |
| Mount Carmel, TN | 63 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 29 |
| Huntington, WV | 65 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 30 |
| Bristol, TN | 66 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 24 |
| Kingsport, TN | 66 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 29 |
| Church Hill, TN | 67 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 29 |
| Ashland, KY | 68 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Pikeville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Pikeville is around April 22. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 8, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 8.
When is the first frost in Pikeville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 23. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 10 and a 90% chance by November 4.
Can it frost in Pikeville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 2.
What growing zone is Pikeville?
Pikeville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 41501. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze