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Will it freeze in Liberty in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Liberty during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 57°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 57°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 58°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 53°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Sun, Nov 8 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 48°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Tue, Nov 10 50°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 52°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Liberty
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is December 22, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Liberty. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Feb 10 · Mar 8 · Mar 31 | Nov 1 · Nov 18 · Dec 9 | 254 days |
| 32°F freeze | Jan 22 · Feb 21 · Mar 17 | Nov 9 · Dec 1 · Jan 2 | 286 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Dec 25 · Jan 30 · Mar 1 | Nov 24 · Dec 22 · Jan 23 | 327 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Liberty
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Liberty, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Liberty (station USC00415196, elevation 35 ft), 1.4 mi from Liberty. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Liberty
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton, TX | 8.7 mi | Feb 20 | Dec 4 |
| Mont Belvieu, TX | 14 mi | Feb 20 | Dec 4 |
| Baytown, TX | 22 mi | Feb 20 | Dec 4 |
| Cleveland, TX | 27 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 20 |
| Humble, TX | 29 mi | Feb 13 | Dec 9 |
| La Porte, TX | 30 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Deer Park, TX | 31 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 25 |
| Jacinto City, TX | 33 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 25 |
| Seabrook, TX | 33 mi | Jan 31 | Dec 14 |
| Galena Park, TX | 34 mi | Feb 2 | Dec 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Liberty?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Liberty is around February 21. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after March 17, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after January 22.
When is the first frost in Liberty?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around December 1. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by November 9 and a 90% chance by January 2.
Can it frost in Liberty after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 8.
What growing zone is Liberty?
Liberty is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 25 to 30°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 77575. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze