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Will it freeze in Lakeway in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Lakeway during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 53°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 53°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 52°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 50°F Above 36°F · Showers And Thunderstorms Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 47°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Mon, Nov 9 48°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers then Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 50°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 51°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Lakeway
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 26, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Dripping Springs 6 E. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 9 · Mar 31 · Apr 18 | Oct 21 · Nov 4 · Nov 22 | 219 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 26 · Mar 17 · Apr 7 | Oct 29 · Nov 13 · Dec 4 | 242 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 4 · Mar 4 · Mar 25 | Nov 5 · Nov 26 · Dec 19 | 268 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Dripping Springs 6 E
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Lakeway, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Dripping Springs 6 E (station USC00412585, elevation 1,084 ft), 9.4 mi from Lakeway. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Lakeway
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bee Cave, TX | 3.7 mi | Mar 17 | Nov 13 |
| Lago Vista, TX | 6.8 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 29 |
| Dripping Springs, TX | 12 mi | Mar 17 | Nov 13 |
| Austin, TX | 14 mi | Feb 20 | Dec 3 |
| Cedar Park, TX | 15 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 20 |
| Leander, TX | 17 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 24 |
| Buda, TX | 21 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 17 |
| Liberty Hill, TX | 22 mi | Mar 6 | Nov 24 |
| Marble Falls, TX | 22 mi | Mar 2 | Nov 29 |
| Round Rock, TX | 22 mi | Mar 11 | Nov 20 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Lakeway?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Lakeway is around March 17. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 26.
When is the first frost in Lakeway?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 13. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 29 and a 90% chance by December 4.
Can it frost in Lakeway after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after March 31.
What growing zone is Lakeway?
Lakeway is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 9a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 20 to 25°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 78734. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze