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Will it freeze in Fairview in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Fairview during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 52°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 52°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Rain Showers
- Fri, Nov 6 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 46°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 50°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 51°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Fairview
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 24, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Mckinney Municipal Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 14 · Apr 3 · Apr 22 | Oct 19 · Nov 1 · Nov 18 | 213 days |
| 32°F freeze | Feb 28 · Mar 18 · Apr 7 | Oct 27 · Nov 11 · Dec 1 | 239 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 9 · Mar 4 · Mar 22 | Nov 6 · Nov 24 · Dec 14 | 266 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Mckinney Municipal Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Fairview, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Mckinney Municipal Airport (station USW00053914, elevation 580 ft), 3.0 mi from Fairview. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Fairview
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas, TX | 3.1 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 11 |
| Allen, TX | 4.3 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 11 |
| McKinney, TX | 5.0 mi | Mar 17 | Nov 15 |
| Parker, TX | 5.6 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 21 |
| Princeton, TX | 6.8 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 11 |
| Murphy, TX | 8.7 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
| Wylie, TX | 9.3 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
| Plano, TX | 9.9 mi | Mar 7 | Nov 21 |
| Melissa, TX | 11 mi | Mar 17 | Nov 15 |
| Sachse, TX | 12 mi | Mar 10 | Nov 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Fairview?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Fairview is around March 18. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after February 28.
When is the first frost in Fairview?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 11. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 27 and a 90% chance by December 1.
Can it frost in Fairview after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 3.
What growing zone is Fairview?
Fairview is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 75069. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze