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Will it freeze in Alpine in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Alpine during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 47°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy then Chance Rain Showers
- Sat, Nov 7 45°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 49°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 48°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Alpine
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 14, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Alpine. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 29 · Apr 14 · Apr 30 | Oct 10 · Oct 25 · Nov 8 | 192 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 11 · Apr 2 · Apr 20 | Oct 19 · Nov 3 · Nov 19 | 216 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Feb 21 · Mar 14 · Apr 6 | Oct 30 · Nov 14 · Dec 1 | 241 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Alpine
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Alpine, TX come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Alpine (station USC00410174, elevation 4,450 ft), 0.9 mi from Alpine. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Alpine
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Stockton, TX | 59 mi | Mar 8 | Nov 20 |
| Town of Pecos, TX | 71 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 10 |
| Monahans, TX | 96 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 6 |
| Kermit, TX | 108 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 11 |
| Odessa, TX | 130 mi | Mar 15 | Nov 16 |
| Carlsbad, NM | 145 mi | Mar 17 | Nov 12 |
| Midland, TX | 147 mi | Mar 26 | Nov 9 |
| Andrews, TX | 150 mi | Mar 18 | Nov 14 |
| Hobbs, NM | 166 mi | Mar 28 | Nov 10 |
| Seminole, TX | 173 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 6 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Alpine?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Alpine is around April 2. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 20, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 11.
When is the first frost in Alpine?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 3. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 19 and a 90% chance by November 19.
Can it frost in Alpine after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 14.
What growing zone is Alpine?
Alpine is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 8b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 15 to 20°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 79830. See growing zones in Texas.
More: all Texas frost dates · Texas growing zones · frost vs. freeze