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Will it freeze in Nolensville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Nolensville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear then Areas Of Fog
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Nolensville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Brentwood. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 11 · Apr 28 · May 15 | Oct 4 · Oct 18 · Oct 28 | 170 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 15 · May 4 | Oct 13 · Oct 26 · Nov 5 | 193 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 2 · Apr 18 | Oct 23 · Nov 3 · Nov 17 | 215 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Brentwood
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Nolensville, TN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Brentwood (station USC00401039, elevation 707 ft), 6.4 mi from Nolensville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Nolensville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brentwood, TN | 6.2 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 26 |
| La Vergne, TN | 7.5 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 21 |
| Smyrna, TN | 8.1 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 21 |
| Franklin, TN | 11 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 31 |
| Murfreesboro, TN | 16 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Nashville, TN | 16 mi | Apr 1 | Oct 31 |
| Thompson's Station, TN | 17 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Mount Juliet, TN | 19 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 4 |
| Spring Hill, TN | 20 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Hendersonville, TN | 24 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 29 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Nolensville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Nolensville is around April 15. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 4, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 31.
When is the first frost in Nolensville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 26. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 13 and a 90% chance by November 5.
Can it frost in Nolensville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 28.
What growing zone is Nolensville?
Nolensville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 37135. See growing zones in Tennessee.
More: all Tennessee frost dates · Tennessee growing zones · frost vs. freeze