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Will it freeze in Thompson's Station in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 32°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 43°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 43°F Above 36°F · Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear then Patchy Fog
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Thompson's Station
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 11, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Thompson Station. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 1 · Apr 17 · May 2 | Oct 11 · Oct 23 · Nov 4 | 189 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 3 · Apr 22 | Oct 20 · Nov 1 · Nov 15 | 211 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 2 · Mar 23 · Apr 11 | Oct 30 · Nov 11 · Nov 30 | 232 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Thompson Station
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Thompson's Station, TN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Thompson Station (station USC00408953, elevation 775 ft), 3.6 mi from Thompson's Station. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Thompson's Station
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring Hill, TN | 4.3 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Franklin, TN | 7.5 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 31 |
| Brentwood, TN | 15 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 26 |
| Columbia, TN | 15 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 27 |
| Nolensville, TN | 17 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 26 |
| Fairview, TN | 17 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 31 |
| Smyrna, TN | 24 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 21 |
| Mount Pleasant, TN | 24 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 28 |
| La Vergne, TN | 24 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 21 |
| Nashville, TN | 26 mi | Apr 1 | Oct 31 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Thompson's Station?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Thompson's Station is around April 3. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 22, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 17.
When is the first frost in Thompson's Station?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 1. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 20 and a 90% chance by November 15.
Can it frost in Thompson's Station after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 17.
What growing zone is Thompson's Station?
Thompson's Station is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 37179. See growing zones in Tennessee.
More: all Tennessee frost dates · Tennessee growing zones · frost vs. freeze