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Will it freeze in Nashville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Nashville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear then Areas Of Fog
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 40°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Nashville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 9, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Shelby Bottoms Nature. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 31 · Apr 14 · May 4 | Oct 9 · Oct 22 · Nov 3 | 190 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 16 · Apr 1 · Apr 16 | Oct 18 · Oct 31 · Nov 13 | 213 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 2 · Mar 20 · Apr 5 | Oct 26 · Nov 9 · Nov 25 | 235 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Shelby Bottoms Nature
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Nashville, TN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Shelby Bottoms Nature (station USC00408238, elevation 405 ft), 3.4 mi from Nashville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Nashville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goodlettsville, TN | 12 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 29 |
| Brentwood, TN | 12 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 26 |
| Hendersonville, TN | 14 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 29 |
| Ashland City, TN | 15 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 26 |
| Mount Juliet, TN | 16 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 4 |
| Millersville, TN | 16 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 30 |
| Nolensville, TN | 16 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 26 |
| La Vergne, TN | 16 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 21 |
| Greenbrier, TN | 17 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 28 |
| Franklin, TN | 18 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 31 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Nashville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Nashville is around April 1. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 16, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 16.
When is the first frost in Nashville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 31. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 18 and a 90% chance by November 13.
Can it frost in Nashville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 14.
What growing zone is Nashville?
Nashville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 37219. See growing zones in Tennessee.
More: all Tennessee frost dates · Tennessee growing zones · UV index today in Nashville · frost vs. freeze