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Will it freeze in Ashland City in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Ashland City during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Patchy Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Areas Of Fog
- Sun, Nov 8 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Ashland City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 5, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Charlotte. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 8 · Apr 25 · May 12 | Oct 4 · Oct 17 · Oct 28 | 174 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 25 · Apr 11 · Apr 30 | Oct 15 · Oct 26 · Nov 7 | 198 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 9 · Mar 29 · Apr 15 | Oct 23 · Nov 5 · Nov 21 | 222 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Charlotte
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Ashland City, TN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Charlotte (station USC00401640, elevation 694 ft), 10 mi from Ashland City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Ashland City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasant View, TN | 9.3 mi | Apr 9 | Nov 1 |
| Nashville, TN | 15 mi | Apr 1 | Oct 31 |
| Greenbrier, TN | 17 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 28 |
| Springfield, TN | 19 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 28 |
| Goodlettsville, TN | 19 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 29 |
| Fairview, TN | 20 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 31 |
| Millersville, TN | 21 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 30 |
| Dickson, TN | 23 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 25 |
| Brentwood, TN | 23 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 26 |
| Hendersonville, TN | 24 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 29 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Ashland City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Ashland City is around April 11. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 30, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 25.
When is the first frost in Ashland City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 26. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 15 and a 90% chance by November 7.
Can it frost in Ashland City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 25.
What growing zone is Ashland City?
Ashland City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 37015. See growing zones in Tennessee.
More: all Tennessee frost dates · Tennessee growing zones · frost vs. freeze