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Will it freeze in Murfreesboro in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 31°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 42°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 42°F Above 36°F · Areas Of Fog
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 31°F Freeze · Mostly Clear then Areas Of Fog
- Sun, Nov 8 31°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Murfreesboro
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 7, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Murfreesboro 5 N. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 6 · Apr 22 · May 8 | Oct 7 · Oct 20 · Oct 31 | 180 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 22 · Apr 9 · Apr 26 | Oct 15 · Oct 27 · Nov 11 | 202 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 8 · Mar 28 · Apr 13 | Oct 24 · Nov 7 · Nov 27 | 227 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Murfreesboro 5 N
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Murfreesboro, TN come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Murfreesboro 5 N (station USC00406371, elevation 535 ft), 5.3 mi from Murfreesboro. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Murfreesboro
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smyrna, TN | 9.9 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 21 |
| La Vergne, TN | 14 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 21 |
| Nolensville, TN | 16 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 26 |
| Brentwood, TN | 22 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 26 |
| Lebanon, TN | 24 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 28 |
| Mount Juliet, TN | 24 mi | Apr 1 | Nov 4 |
| Shelbyville, TN | 24 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 29 |
| Franklin, TN | 24 mi | Apr 3 | Oct 31 |
| Thompson's Station, TN | 27 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
| Spring Hill, TN | 29 mi | Apr 3 | Nov 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Murfreesboro?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Murfreesboro is around April 9. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 26, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 22.
When is the first frost in Murfreesboro?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 27. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 15 and a 90% chance by November 11.
Can it frost in Murfreesboro after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 22.
What growing zone is Murfreesboro?
Murfreesboro is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7b (average annual extreme minimum temperature 5 to 10°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 37132. See growing zones in Tennessee.
More: all Tennessee frost dates · Tennessee growing zones · UV index today in Murfreesboro · frost vs. freeze