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Will it freeze in Titusville in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sun, Nov 8: 31°F (Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 PM EST to Mon, Nov 9, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
6 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Light Rain Likely
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Light Rain Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 31°F Freeze · Chance Light Rain
- Mon, Nov 9 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 31°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 29°F Freeze · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Titusville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 21, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Titusville Wtr Wks. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 10 · May 25 · Jun 7 | Sep 14 · Sep 29 · Oct 11 | 124 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 29 · May 12 · May 28 | Sep 25 · Oct 10 · Oct 23 | 149 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 17 · May 1 · May 19 | Oct 4 · Oct 21 · Nov 5 | 172 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Titusville Wtr Wks
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Titusville, PA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Titusville Wtr Wks (station USC00368888, elevation 1,220 ft), 1.2 mi from Titusville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Titusville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil City, PA | 14 mi | May 2 | Oct 23 |
| Franklin, PA | 19 mi | May 2 | Oct 23 |
| Corry, PA | 21 mi | May 7 | Oct 10 |
| Meadville, PA | 25 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 23 |
| Edinboro, PA | 29 mi | May 7 | Oct 10 |
| Warren, PA | 31 mi | May 4 | Oct 21 |
| Grove City, PA | 39 mi | May 7 | Oct 14 |
| Jamestown, NY | 39 mi | May 8 | Oct 13 |
| Erie, PA | 40 mi | Apr 26 | Nov 4 |
| Greenville, PA | 40 mi | May 4 | Oct 14 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Titusville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Titusville is around May 12. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 28, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 29.
When is the first frost in Titusville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 10. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 25 and a 90% chance by October 23.
Can it frost in Titusville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 25.
What growing zone is Titusville?
Titusville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 16354. See growing zones in Pennsylvania.
More: all Pennsylvania frost dates · Pennsylvania growing zones · frost vs. freeze