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Will it freeze in Meadville in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Meadville during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 46°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
4 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Light Rain Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Wed, Nov 11 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Meadville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 4, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Port Meadville Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 26 · May 11 · May 26 | Sep 28 · Oct 9 · Oct 23 | 151 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 16 · Apr 30 · May 18 | Oct 6 · Oct 23 · Nov 7 | 175 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 2 · Apr 18 · May 5 | Oct 20 · Nov 4 · Nov 20 | 200 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Port Meadville Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Meadville, PA come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Port Meadville Airport (station USW00004843, elevation 1,400 ft), 3.8 mi from Meadville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Meadville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edinboro, PA | 16 mi | May 7 | Oct 10 |
| Greenville, PA | 21 mi | May 4 | Oct 14 |
| Franklin, PA | 24 mi | May 2 | Oct 23 |
| Titusville, PA | 25 mi | May 12 | Oct 10 |
| Oil City, PA | 27 mi | May 2 | Oct 23 |
| Conneaut, OH | 29 mi | May 8 | Oct 16 |
| Erie, PA | 32 mi | Apr 26 | Nov 4 |
| Hermitage, PA | 33 mi | May 15 | Oct 3 |
| Corry, PA | 33 mi | May 7 | Oct 10 |
| Sharon, PA | 34 mi | May 1 | Oct 17 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Meadville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Meadville is around April 30. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 18, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 16.
When is the first frost in Meadville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 23. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 6 and a 90% chance by November 7.
Can it frost in Meadville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 11.
What growing zone is Meadville?
Meadville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 16335. See growing zones in Pennsylvania.
More: all Pennsylvania frost dates · Pennsylvania growing zones · frost vs. freeze