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Will it freeze in Conneaut in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Conneaut during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Light Rain Likely
- Sun, Nov 8 37°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy then Slight Chance Light Rain
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Conneaut
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Springboro 3 Wnw. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | May 2 · May 20 · Jun 1 | Sep 17 · Oct 2 · Oct 18 | 135 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 23 · May 8 · May 23 | Oct 1 · Oct 16 · Nov 2 | 160 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 9 · Apr 26 · May 14 | Oct 13 · Nov 1 · Nov 16 | 188 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Springboro 3 Wnw
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Conneaut, OH come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Springboro 3 Wnw (station USC00368361, elevation 1,005 ft), 11 mi from Conneaut. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Conneaut
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ashtabula, OH | 12 mi | May 2 | Oct 21 |
| Geneva, OH | 21 mi | May 2 | Oct 21 |
| Edinboro, PA | 23 mi | May 7 | Oct 10 |
| Erie, PA | 29 mi | Apr 26 | Nov 4 |
| Meadville, PA | 29 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 23 |
| Greenville, PA | 37 mi | May 4 | Oct 14 |
| Painesville, OH | 39 mi | Apr 15 | Nov 9 |
| Chardon, OH | 41 mi | May 5 | Oct 18 |
| Cortland, OH | 42 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 23 |
| Mentor, OH | 43 mi | Apr 15 | Nov 9 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Conneaut?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Conneaut is around May 8. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 23, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 23.
When is the first frost in Conneaut?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 16. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 1 and a 90% chance by November 2.
Can it frost in Conneaut after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 20.
What growing zone is Conneaut?
Conneaut is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 44030. See growing zones in Ohio.
More: all Ohio frost dates · Ohio growing zones · frost vs. freeze