Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Ashland in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 31°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 31°F Freeze · Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 35°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Ashland
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 29, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Ashland 2 SW. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 25 · May 10 · May 24 | Sep 20 · Oct 4 · Oct 16 | 146 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 16 · Apr 30 · May 15 | Oct 1 · Oct 15 · Oct 30 | 168 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 3 · Apr 18 · May 5 | Oct 13 · Oct 29 · Nov 11 | 192 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Ashland 2 SW
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Ashland, OH come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Ashland 2 SW (station USC00330256, elevation 1,265 ft), 3.0 mi from Ashland. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Ashland
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mansfield, OH | 13 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 22 |
| Ontario, OH | 17 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 15 |
| Shelby, OH | 18 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 15 |
| Wooster, OH | 21 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 12 |
| Willard, OH | 25 mi | Apr 25 | Oct 25 |
| Galion, OH | 26 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 20 |
| Orrville, OH | 28 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 14 |
| Rittman, OH | 29 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 14 |
| Oberlin, OH | 29 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 22 |
| Medina, OH | 30 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Ashland?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Ashland is around April 30. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 15, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 16.
When is the first frost in Ashland?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 15. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 1 and a 90% chance by October 30.
Can it frost in Ashland after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 10.
What growing zone is Ashland?
Ashland is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 44805. See growing zones in Ohio.
More: all Ohio frost dates · Ohio growing zones · frost vs. freeze