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Will it freeze in Oberlin in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Oberlin during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 43°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 43°F Above 36°F · Cloudy then Chance Light Rain
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Chance Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 33°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Light Rain then Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Oberlin
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 3, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Oberlin. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 23 · May 7 · May 23 | Sep 27 · Oct 10 · Oct 24 | 155 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 13 · Apr 27 · May 14 | Oct 7 · Oct 22 · Nov 4 | 178 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 15 · May 1 | Oct 21 · Nov 3 · Nov 17 | 203 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Oberlin
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Oberlin, OH come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Oberlin (station USC00336196, elevation 816 ft), 0.4 mi from Oberlin. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Oberlin
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amherst, OH | 8.1 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 24 |
| Elyria, OH | 8.7 mi | Apr 22 | Nov 1 |
| Vermilion, OH | 9.9 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 24 |
| Grafton, OH | 9.9 mi | Apr 22 | Nov 1 |
| Lorain, OH | 11 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 24 |
| North Ridgeville, OH | 12 mi | Apr 22 | Nov 1 |
| Sheffield Lake, OH | 16 mi | Apr 22 | Nov 1 |
| Avon, OH | 16 mi | Apr 22 | Nov 1 |
| Olmsted Falls, OH | 17 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Avon Lake, OH | 18 mi | Apr 22 | Nov 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Oberlin?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Oberlin is around April 27. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 14, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 13.
When is the first frost in Oberlin?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 22. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 7 and a 90% chance by November 4.
Can it frost in Oberlin after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 7.
What growing zone is Oberlin?
Oberlin is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 44074. See growing zones in Ohio.
More: all Ohio frost dates · Ohio growing zones · frost vs. freeze