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Will it freeze in Avon Lake in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Avon Lake during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
No nights at or below 36°F in the National Weather Service forecast for the next 7 nights.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Cloudy then Chance Light Rain
- Fri, Nov 6 38°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Light Rain then Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Mon, Nov 9 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Avon Lake
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 10, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Elyria 3 E. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 19 · May 2 · May 19 | Oct 4 · Oct 18 · Nov 1 | 168 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 6 · Apr 22 · May 7 | Oct 17 · Nov 1 · Nov 12 | 192 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 26 · Apr 9 · Apr 24 | Nov 1 · Nov 10 · Nov 24 | 215 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Elyria 3 E
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Avon Lake, OH come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Elyria 3 E (station USC00332599, elevation 730 ft), 8.1 mi from Avon Lake. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Avon Lake
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avon, OH | 3.7 mi | Apr 22 | Nov 1 |
| Sheffield Lake, OH | 4.3 mi | Apr 22 | Nov 1 |
| Bay Village, OH | 4.3 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Westlake, OH | 5.6 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| North Olmsted, OH | 7.5 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| North Ridgeville, OH | 7.5 mi | Apr 22 | Nov 1 |
| Rocky River, OH | 8.7 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Fairview Park, OH | 9.3 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Elyria, OH | 9.3 mi | Apr 22 | Nov 1 |
| Lorain, OH | 9.3 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 24 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Avon Lake?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Avon Lake is around April 22. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 7, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 6.
When is the first frost in Avon Lake?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 1. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 17 and a 90% chance by November 12.
Can it frost in Avon Lake after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 2.
What growing zone is Avon Lake?
Avon Lake is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 44012. See growing zones in Ohio.
More: all Ohio frost dates · Ohio growing zones · UV index today in Avon Lake · frost vs. freeze