Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Medina in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Medina during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 37°F Above 36°F · Chance Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Chance Light Rain then Mostly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 37°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Medina
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Chippewa Lake. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 25 · May 8 · May 25 | Sep 25 · Oct 8 · Oct 21 | 150 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 15 · Apr 29 · May 15 | Oct 5 · Oct 19 · Nov 1 | 172 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 3 · Apr 17 · May 3 | Oct 17 · Nov 1 · Nov 13 | 195 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Chippewa Lake
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Medina, OH come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Chippewa Lake (station USC00331541, elevation 1,180 ft), 6.7 mi from Medina. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Medina
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brunswick, OH | 8.1 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Wadsworth, OH | 11 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 19 |
| Rittman, OH | 12 mi | Apr 29 | Oct 14 |
| Strongsville, OH | 12 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Fairlawn, OH | 13 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 21 |
| Grafton, OH | 13 mi | Apr 22 | Nov 1 |
| Norton, OH | 14 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 28 |
| North Royalton, OH | 14 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Olmsted Falls, OH | 16 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
| Broadview Heights, OH | 16 mi | Apr 20 | Nov 3 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Medina?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Medina is around April 29. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 15, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 15.
When is the first frost in Medina?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 5 and a 90% chance by November 1.
Can it frost in Medina after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 8.
What growing zone is Medina?
Medina is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 44256. See growing zones in Ohio.
More: all Ohio frost dates · Ohio growing zones · UV index today in Medina · frost vs. freeze