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Will it freeze in Richmond in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Fri, Nov 6: 29°F (Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 PM CST to Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 38°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 38°F Above 36°F · Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 29°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 35°F Frost possible · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Richmond
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 27, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Richmond 3S. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 16 · Apr 30 · May 12 | Sep 24 · Oct 8 · Oct 20 | 161 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 6 · Apr 19 · May 3 | Oct 3 · Oct 18 · Oct 30 | 180 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 26 · Apr 8 · Apr 22 | Oct 14 · Oct 27 · Nov 9 | 201 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Richmond 3S
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Richmond, MO come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Richmond 3S (station USC00237116, elevation 700 ft), 2.3 mi from Richmond. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Richmond
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Springs, MO | 15 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 17 |
| Odessa, MO | 19 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 23 |
| Oak Grove, MO | 21 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 23 |
| Kearney, MO | 21 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 17 |
| Grain Valley, MO | 22 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 29 |
| Liberty, MO | 24 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 17 |
| Blue Springs, MO | 24 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 29 |
| Independence, MO | 24 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 27 |
| Gladstone, MO | 32 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Raytown, MO | 32 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 29 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Richmond?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Richmond is around April 19. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 3, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 6.
When is the first frost in Richmond?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 18. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 3 and a 90% chance by October 30.
Can it frost in Richmond after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 30.
What growing zone is Richmond?
Richmond is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 64085. See growing zones in Missouri.
More: all Missouri frost dates · Missouri growing zones · frost vs. freeze