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Will it freeze in Tecumseh in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 29°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 39°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 39°F Above 36°F · Light Rain Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 33°F Frost possible · Slight Chance Light Rain
- Sat, Nov 7 29°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 33°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Tecumseh
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 25, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Tecumseh. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 30 · May 14 · May 29 | Sep 20 · Oct 1 · Oct 13 | 140 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 20 · May 3 · May 18 | Sep 30 · Oct 13 · Oct 25 | 160 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 9 · Apr 23 · May 7 | Oct 10 · Oct 25 · Nov 6 | 184 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Tecumseh
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Tecumseh, MI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Tecumseh (station USC00208080, elevation 780 ft), 0.6 mi from Tecumseh. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Tecumseh
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian, MI | 9.3 mi | May 1 | Oct 15 |
| Milan, MI | 14 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 19 |
| Dundee, MI | 14 mi | Apr 27 | Oct 21 |
| Saline, MI | 14 mi | May 2 | Oct 11 |
| Chelsea, MI | 22 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 12 |
| Ann Arbor, MI | 22 mi | May 5 | Oct 10 |
| Ypsilanti, MI | 24 mi | May 5 | Oct 10 |
| Sylvania, OH | 24 mi | Apr 22 | Oct 24 |
| Jackson, MI | 29 mi | May 1 | Oct 14 |
| Monroe, MI | 29 mi | Apr 23 | Oct 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Tecumseh?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Tecumseh is around May 3. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 18, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 20.
When is the first frost in Tecumseh?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 13. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by September 30 and a 90% chance by October 25.
Can it frost in Tecumseh after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 14.
What growing zone is Tecumseh?
Tecumseh is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 49286. See growing zones in Michigan.
More: all Michigan frost dates · Michigan growing zones · frost vs. freeze