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Will it freeze in Marshall in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 30°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM EST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM EST).
Tonight: forecast low 37°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM EST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM EST.
5 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 37°F Above 36°F · Rain Showers Likely
- Fri, Nov 6 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 30°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 34°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Marshall
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Battle Creek Kellogg Airport. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 24 · May 10 · May 25 | Sep 24 · Oct 6 · Oct 20 | 149 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 16 · Apr 30 · May 17 | Oct 3 · Oct 19 · Nov 2 | 170 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 4 · Apr 19 · May 6 | Oct 17 · Nov 1 · Nov 14 | 195 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Battle Creek Kellogg Airport
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Marshall, MI come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Battle Creek Kellogg Airport (station USW00014815, elevation 928 ft), 14 mi from Marshall. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Marshall
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albion, MI | 11 mi | May 1 | Oct 14 |
| Battle Creek, MI | 13 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 19 |
| Springfield, MI | 14 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 19 |
| Charlotte, MI | 22 mi | May 1 | Oct 15 |
| Coldwater, MI | 22 mi | May 2 | Oct 13 |
| Eaton Rapids, MI | 24 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 14 |
| Hillsdale, MI | 29 mi | May 3 | Oct 12 |
| Jackson, MI | 29 mi | May 1 | Oct 14 |
| Hastings, MI | 31 mi | May 3 | Oct 12 |
| Kalamazoo, MI | 32 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 18 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Marshall?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Marshall is around April 30. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 17, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 16.
When is the first frost in Marshall?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 19. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 3 and a 90% chance by November 2.
Can it frost in Marshall after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 10.
What growing zone is Marshall?
Marshall is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6a (average annual extreme minimum temperature −10 to −5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 49068. See growing zones in Michigan.
More: all Michigan frost dates · Michigan growing zones · frost vs. freeze