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Will it freeze in Henderson in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Henderson during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 45°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 45°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 36°F Frost possible · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Henderson
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 4, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Henderson State Police. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 6 · Apr 20 · May 3 | Oct 3 · Oct 16 · Oct 28 | 177 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 26 · Apr 9 · Apr 24 | Oct 12 · Oct 26 · Nov 6 | 198 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 11 · Mar 31 · Apr 15 | Oct 21 · Nov 4 · Nov 20 | 219 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Henderson State Police
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Henderson, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Henderson State Police (station USC00153768, elevation 420 ft), 3.2 mi from Henderson. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Henderson
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evansville, IN | 11 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 10 |
| Mount Vernon, IN | 19 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 28 |
| Boonville, IN | 21 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 25 |
| Owensboro, KY | 26 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 1 |
| Madisonville, KY | 35 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 1 |
| Princeton, IN | 35 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 25 |
| Mount Carmel, IL | 42 mi | Apr 2 | Oct 31 |
| Central City, KY | 45 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 20 |
| Tell City, IN | 45 mi | Apr 5 | Nov 1 |
| Huntingburg, IN | 47 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 30 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Henderson?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Henderson is around April 9. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 24, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 26.
When is the first frost in Henderson?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 26. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 12 and a 90% chance by November 6.
Can it frost in Henderson after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 20.
What growing zone is Henderson?
Henderson is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 42420. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · UV index today in Henderson · frost vs. freeze