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Will it freeze in Madisonville in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 32°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 43°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 43°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Madisonville
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 12, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Madisonville. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Mar 31 · Apr 14 · Apr 29 | Oct 11 · Oct 23 · Nov 3 | 191 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 2 · Apr 18 | Oct 19 · Nov 1 · Nov 16 | 212 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 3 · Mar 22 · Apr 7 | Oct 30 · Nov 12 · Dec 1 | 234 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Madisonville
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Madisonville, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Madisonville (station USC00155067, elevation 425 ft), 1.2 mi from Madisonville. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Madisonville
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central City, KY | 21 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 20 |
| Princeton, KY | 27 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 24 |
| Hopkinsville, KY | 35 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Henderson, KY | 35 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 26 |
| Owensboro, KY | 36 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 1 |
| Evansville, IN | 45 mi | Mar 29 | Nov 10 |
| Oak Grove, KY | 46 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 28 |
| Mount Vernon, IN | 47 mi | Apr 7 | Oct 28 |
| Russellville, KY | 48 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 28 |
| Boonville, IN | 50 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Madisonville?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Madisonville is around April 2. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 18, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 17.
When is the first frost in Madisonville?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around November 1. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 19 and a 90% chance by November 16.
Can it frost in Madisonville after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 14.
What growing zone is Madisonville?
Madisonville is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 42431. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze