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Will it freeze in Central City in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 32°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 44°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 44°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 32°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 39°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 40°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Central City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 30, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Rochester Ferry. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 12 · Apr 27 · May 12 | Oct 1 · Oct 12 · Oct 21 | 167 days |
| 32°F freeze | Mar 31 · Apr 15 · May 3 | Oct 9 · Oct 20 · Oct 30 | 187 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 17 · Apr 2 · Apr 19 | Oct 18 · Oct 30 · Nov 13 | 211 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Rochester Ferry
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Central City, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Rochester Ferry (station USC00156882, elevation 390 ft), 14 mi from Central City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Central City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Madisonville, KY | 21 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 1 |
| Owensboro, KY | 32 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 1 |
| Russellville, KY | 34 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 28 |
| Hopkinsville, KY | 37 mi | Apr 4 | Nov 2 |
| Princeton, KY | 43 mi | Apr 11 | Oct 24 |
| Bowling Green, KY | 44 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 31 |
| Henderson, KY | 45 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 26 |
| Oak Grove, KY | 46 mi | Apr 6 | Oct 28 |
| Leitchfield, KY | 48 mi | Apr 26 | Oct 15 |
| Tell City, IN | 50 mi | Apr 5 | Nov 1 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Central City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Central City is around April 15. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 3, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after March 31.
When is the first frost in Central City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 20. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 9 and a 90% chance by October 30.
Can it frost in Central City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 27.
What growing zone is Central City?
Central City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 42330. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze