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Will it freeze in Leitchfield in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Sat, Nov 7: 31°F (Sat, Nov 7, 6:00 PM CST to Sun, Nov 8, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 41°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
6 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sat, Nov 7 31°F Freeze · Partly Cloudy
- Sun, Nov 8 31°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 35°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 36°F Frost possible · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Leitchfield
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 24, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Leitchfield 2 N. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 21 · May 4 · May 19 | Sep 25 · Oct 6 · Oct 17 | 154 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 11 · Apr 26 · May 11 | Oct 4 · Oct 15 · Oct 26 | 172 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 30 · Apr 14 · Apr 30 | Oct 11 · Oct 24 · Nov 5 | 193 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Leitchfield 2 N
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Leitchfield, KY come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Leitchfield 2 N (station USC00154703, elevation 620 ft), 1.7 mi from Leitchfield. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Leitchfield
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabethtown, KY | 27 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Vine Grove, KY | 28 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Radcliff, KY | 30 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 25 |
| Bowling Green, KY | 36 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 31 |
| Glasgow, KY | 39 mi | Apr 9 | Oct 27 |
| Tell City, IN | 42 mi | Apr 5 | Nov 1 |
| Shepherdsville, KY | 47 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 25 |
| Central City, KY | 48 mi | Apr 15 | Oct 20 |
| Owensboro, KY | 49 mi | Apr 2 | Nov 1 |
| Bardstown, KY | 51 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 25 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Leitchfield?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Leitchfield is around April 26. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 11, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 11.
When is the first frost in Leitchfield?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 15. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 4 and a 90% chance by October 26.
Can it frost in Leitchfield after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 4.
What growing zone is Leitchfield?
Leitchfield is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 7a (average annual extreme minimum temperature 0 to 5°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 42754. See growing zones in Kentucky.
More: all Kentucky frost dates · Kentucky growing zones · frost vs. freeze