Checking current alerts… View NWS forecast and alerts.
Will it freeze in Liberal in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Tonight: 32°F (Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 32°F. Freeze.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
3 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 32°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 38°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 40°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Liberal
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Liberal. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 16 · Apr 30 · May 11 | Sep 30 · Oct 15 · Oct 26 | 167 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 4 · Apr 20 · May 3 | Oct 8 · Oct 24 · Nov 4 | 186 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 24 · Apr 9 · Apr 25 | Oct 20 · Nov 1 · Nov 13 | 205 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Liberal
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Liberal, KS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Liberal (station USC00144695, elevation 2,834 ft), 1.6 mi from Liberal. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Liberal
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guymon, OK | 39 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 23 |
| Ulysses, KS | 43 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 16 |
| Perryton, TX | 46 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 30 |
| Garden City, KS | 65 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 17 |
| Dodge City, KS | 70 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 20 |
| Woodward, OK | 94 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 30 |
| Borger, TX | 99 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 28 |
| Dumas, TX | 100 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 24 |
| Pampa, TX | 104 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 28 |
| Dalhart, TX | 111 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 20 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Liberal?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Liberal is around April 20. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 3, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 4.
When is the first frost in Liberal?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 24. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 8 and a 90% chance by November 4.
Can it frost in Liberal after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 30.
What growing zone is Liberal?
Liberal is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 67901. See growing zones in Kansas.
More: all Kansas frost dates · Kansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze