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Will it freeze in Dodge City in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Dodge City during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 34°F. Frost possible.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 34°F Frost possible · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 41°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 45°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 43°F Above 36°F · Partly Cloudy
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Dodge City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 28, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Dodge City. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 17 · Apr 30 · May 13 | Sep 25 · Oct 11 · Oct 22 | 162 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 7 · Apr 21 · May 4 | Oct 4 · Oct 20 · Nov 1 | 179 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 29 · Apr 11 · Apr 26 | Oct 15 · Oct 28 · Nov 10 | 199 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Dodge City
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Dodge City, KS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Dodge City (station USW00013985, elevation 2,590 ft), 2.7 mi from Dodge City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Dodge City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Garden City, KS | 48 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 17 |
| Pratt, KS | 68 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 20 |
| Liberal, KS | 70 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 24 |
| Ulysses, KS | 74 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 16 |
| Great Bend, KS | 78 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 15 |
| Hays, KS | 86 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 22 |
| Woodward, OK | 98 mi | Apr 5 | Oct 30 |
| Perryton, TX | 104 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 30 |
| Guymon, OK | 109 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 23 |
| Hutchinson, KS | 117 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 21 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Dodge City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Dodge City is around April 21. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 4, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 7.
When is the first frost in Dodge City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 20. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 4 and a 90% chance by November 1.
Can it frost in Dodge City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 30.
What growing zone is Dodge City?
Dodge City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 67801. See growing zones in Kansas.
More: all Kansas frost dates · Kansas growing zones · UV index today in Dodge City · frost vs. freeze