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Will it freeze in Garden City in the next 7 nights?
The earliest overnight low at or below 32°F in the available NWS frost forecast is Tonight: 31°F (Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST).
Tonight: forecast low 31°F. Freeze.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
2 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 31°F Freeze · Mostly Clear
- Fri, Nov 6 36°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 38°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 39°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 38°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 41°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 42°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Garden City
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is October 25, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Garden City Experiment Station. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 24 · May 6 · May 18 | Sep 24 · Oct 7 · Oct 19 | 153 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 13 · Apr 28 · May 9 | Oct 1 · Oct 17 · Oct 28 | 171 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Apr 2 · Apr 17 · May 2 | Oct 12 · Oct 25 · Nov 6 | 191 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Garden City Experiment Station
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Garden City, KS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Garden City Experiment Station (station USC00142980, elevation 2,890 ft), 2.4 mi from Garden City. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Garden City
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ulysses, KS | 39 mi | Apr 28 | Oct 16 |
| Dodge City, KS | 48 mi | Apr 21 | Oct 20 |
| Liberal, KS | 65 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 24 |
| Guymon, OK | 95 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 23 |
| Lamar, CO | 96 mi | Apr 30 | Oct 10 |
| Colby, KS | 98 mi | May 2 | Oct 9 |
| Hays, KS | 104 mi | Apr 19 | Oct 22 |
| Perryton, TX | 109 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 30 |
| Great Bend, KS | 114 mi | Apr 24 | Oct 15 |
| Pratt, KS | 116 mi | Apr 20 | Oct 20 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Garden City?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Garden City is around April 28. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after May 9, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 13.
When is the first frost in Garden City?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 17. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 1 and a 90% chance by October 28.
Can it frost in Garden City after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after May 6.
What growing zone is Garden City?
Garden City is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 67846. See growing zones in Kansas.
More: all Kansas frost dates · Kansas growing zones · UV index today in Garden City · frost vs. freeze