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Will it freeze in Emporia in the next 7 nights?
No overnight lows at or below 32°F are forecast in Emporia during the next 7 nights in the available NWS frost forecast.
Tonight: forecast low 39°F. Above 36°F.
NWS forecast period: Thu, Nov 5, 6:00 PM CST to Fri, Nov 6, 6:00 AM CST.
1 of the next 7 nights are forecast at 36°F or colder, cold enough for frost on exposed plants.
- Tonight 39°F Above 36°F · Slight Chance Drizzle
- Fri, Nov 6 33°F Frost possible · Mostly Cloudy
- Sat, Nov 7 37°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Sun, Nov 8 40°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Mon, Nov 9 44°F Above 36°F · Clear
- Tue, Nov 10 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
- Wed, Nov 11 46°F Above 36°F · Mostly Clear
Overnight lows from the National Weather Service forecast for this location. This covers the available forecast window, not the first freeze of the whole season. Frost can form above 32°F on clear, calm nights.
Frost and freeze probabilities
Freeze dates shift from year to year. Spring percentages describe the chance of a freeze after the stated date; fall percentages describe the chance of a freeze by that date. The 10% spring date is the cautious one: a later freeze happens about 1 year in 10.
These dates describe historical probabilities, not this year’s forecast or the earliest and latest possible freezes. Different weather stations or probability thresholds can produce different published dates for the same city.
Average first hard freeze in Emporia
The median first fall hard-freeze date (28°F) is November 1, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals at Emporia 3 NW. This is the 50% probability date, not a forecast for this year.
| Temperature | Last spring date 90% · 50% · 10% chance of a later freeze | First fall date 10% · 50% · 90% chance of an earlier freeze | Season |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F frost possible | Apr 11 · Apr 26 · May 8 | Sep 28 · Oct 13 · Oct 26 | 169 days |
| 32°F freeze | Apr 2 · Apr 15 · Apr 30 | Oct 8 · Oct 23 · Nov 5 | 190 days |
| 28°F hard freeze | Mar 21 · Apr 5 · Apr 21 | Oct 18 · Nov 1 · Nov 17 | 210 days |
Average high temperature by month
1991–2020 normals at Emporia 3 NW
Average low temperature by month
Months with lows near or below freezing carry frost risk
Where these frost dates come from
The frost dates for Emporia, KS come from the nearest weather station with freeze statistics in NOAA’s 1991–2020 Climate Normals: Emporia 3 NW (station USC00142548, elevation 1,238 ft), 2.4 mi from Emporia. Local conditions (valleys, hilltops, distance to water, city heat) can shift frost dates by days or weeks. The hardiness zone is from the 2023 USDA Plant Hardiness Zone Map (USDA ARS and Oregon State University PRISM). See our methodology.
Frost dates near Emporia
| City | Distance | Last spring frost | First fall frost |
|---|---|---|---|
| Topeka, KS | 51 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 22 |
| Ottawa, KS | 52 mi | Apr 18 | Oct 20 |
| Iola, KS | 54 mi | Apr 8 | Oct 26 |
| El Dorado, KS | 54 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 25 |
| Junction City, KS | 56 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 26 |
| Manhattan, KS | 59 mi | Apr 16 | Oct 19 |
| Lawrence, KS | 63 mi | Apr 12 | Oct 28 |
| Chanute, KS | 64 mi | Apr 10 | Oct 28 |
| Augusta, KS | 65 mi | Apr 13 | Oct 25 |
| Abilene, KS | 66 mi | Apr 14 | Oct 23 |
Frequently asked questions
When is the last frost in Emporia?
On average, the last spring frost (32°F) in Emporia is around April 15. In about 1 year in 10 it comes after April 30, and in 9 years in 10 it comes after April 2.
When is the first frost in Emporia?
The first fall frost (32°F) usually arrives around October 23. There’s a 10% chance of a freeze by October 8 and a 90% chance by November 5.
Can it frost in Emporia after the last frost date?
Yes. Frost can form on clear, calm nights even when the air stays above 32°F. Temperatures of 36°F or lower, cold enough for frost on exposed plants, have a 50% chance of occurring after April 26.
What growing zone is Emporia?
Emporia is in USDA Plant Hardiness Zone 6b (average annual extreme minimum temperature −5 to 0°F), based on the 2023 USDA map for ZIP code 66801. See growing zones in Kansas.
More: all Kansas frost dates · Kansas growing zones · frost vs. freeze